Germany
38%
Ecuador
29%
GermanyDrawEcuador
$ 143 Vol.·sports
Closes Jun 30
AI & Tech Milestones 2025
Will a model with 200B+ parameters launch publicly?
51%
YesNo
Will SpaceX achieve two consecutive successful Starship launches?
50%
YesNo
$ 15 Vol.·other
Closes Jun 7
Global Macro Milestones Q2 2025
Will the S&P 500 close above 6,000?
52%
YesNo
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates at least twice?
50%
YesNo
$ 6 Vol.·finance
Closes Aug 6
Which central bank will cut rates first in 2025?
Federal Reserve
25%
YesNo
ECB
25%
YesNo
$ 1 Vol.·finance
Closes Aug 6
African Sports Milestones 2025
Will Kenya qualify for the AFCON final?
50%
YesNo
Will a Nigerian athlete win an Olympic gold?
50%
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·sports
Closes Mar 14
Will Arsenal finish in the top 2 of the Premier League?
52%
chance
YesNo
$ 5 Vol.·sports
Closes Jul 7
Will a Nigerian artist top the global charts this year?
50%
chance
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·other
Closes Nov 4
Who will win the 2027 Kenyan Presidential Election?
William Ruto
50%
YesNo
Raila Odinga
50%
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·politics
Closes Sep 4
Will Kenya's inflation fall below 5% this year?
50%
chance
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·finance
Closes Sep 5
Will SpaceX launch Starship successfully twice in a row?
49%
chance
YesNo
$ 10 Vol.·other
Closes Dec 4
Will gold trade above $3,000 per ounce this year?
50%
chance
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·finance
Closes Sep 15
Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Brazil
50%
YesNo
France
50%
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·sports
Closes Jul 12
Will Kenya qualify for the next AFCON final?
50%
chance
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·sports
Closes Dec 24
Who will win the 2024/25 Premier League?
Arsenal
50%
YesNo
Manchester City
50%
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·sports
Closes Jul 2
Will a Formula 1 rookie finish on the podium this season?
50%
chance
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·sports
Closes Aug 6
Will Bitcoin reach $100k by end of 2025?
50%
chance
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·finance
Closes Oct 5
binary clob market
50%
chance
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·tech
Closes Jun 14
clob market
Option A
50%
YesNo
Option B
50%
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·crypto
Closes Jun 14
test market 2
Option A
50%
YesNo
Option B
50%
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·sports
Closes Jun 14
test market
50%
chance
YesNo
$ 0 Vol.·politics
Closes Jun 14